The weather pattern is finally changing for the better and new snow is on the way. Watch for changing avalanche conditions in your local riding area.
Weather Forecast
The weather pattern is finally changing. A weak frontal system will break down the persistent valley cloud and temperature inversion bringing upper elevation clouds, snow accumulations 5-10 cm, and light SW winds. By Wednesday, the Interior regions will see an additional 5-15 cm of new snow with strong SW winds and alpine temperatures near -10. Unsettled conditions continue through Thursday.
Avalanche Summary
On Sunday there was numerous reports of loose dry sluffing up to size 1.5, most seemed to be solar induced at higher elevations. With new snow forecast, loose dry and storm slab avalanches could become more of a widespread problem.
Snowpack Summary
Snow surfaces are generally loose and unconsolidated except in isolated locations where wind slabs or new storm slabs exist. Surfaces above the inversion clouds (1900 m +) are riddled with new surface hoar growth up to 20 mm in size. Below this, up to 30 cm of recent settling snow is sitting on a mix of surface hoar, facets, and sun crusts that were buried January 4th. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Loose Dry
Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.