Avalanche Forecast

Saturday night: Partly cloudy, scattered flurries with trace accumulations, strong southwest winds, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level dropping to 500 m.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, a trace of new snow, moderate southwest winds, alpine high temperature -3 C, freezing level around 500 m.

Monday: A trace of new snow. Moderate south to southwesterly winds. Alpine high -4 C. Freezing level around 500 m.

A few small, human-triggered wind slab avalanches were reported on Friday. Earlier in the week, there were reports of storm slabs releasing naturally (see this MIN report).

Last weekend, a natural storm cycle was observed at treeline and below. Slabs were soft and thin but propagated widely resulting in avalanches up to size 2. They ran on the faceted interface buried January 17th.

There have been reports trickling in over the past month of natural persistent slab avalanches up to size 3 in the Bulkley Valley. These are thought to have been failing on the November crust/facet layer near the ground. The last reported activity at this interface was Monday January 13th.

Southerly winds have formed fresh wind slabs with the 15-30 cm (up to 50 cm in the Howson area) of recent snow. These slabs sit on previously scoured surfaces from the arctic outflow winds. In wind sheltered areas at treeline and below, the recent snow sits on a layer of facets.

A layer of surface hoar now buried up to 1 m below the surface may also be found at treeline. A deep crust/facet layer lurks at the base of the snowpack. A couple of large avalanches are suspected to have run on this interface in the last few weeks. These larger avalanches have been specific to lee and cross-loaded features in the alpine.

• Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind exposed terrain.
• Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
• Stay off recently wind loaded slopes until they have had a chance to stabilize.