Avalanche forecast

Kananaskis

Jan 19 – 20, 2020Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 7 years ago

Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

A big change in the weather is coming - warm temperatures! This may mean that slabs become more sensitive to triggering, and certain terrain (such as steep solar aspects and cornices) should be avoided.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Surface wind slabs and buried wind slabs are present at Treeline and above. Snowpack tests today indicate that these slabs are sensitive to human triggering. The warming trend on Sunday may make these slabs more sensitive.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    The big weather change arriving on Sunday may lead to some steep solar aspects becoming problematic, especially after mid-day. Be aware of the terrain around you.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3.5

    The basal weaknesses are still very scary. Forecasters continue to treat big terrain that has not yet slid this season with a large amount of caution. 

Confidence

No Rating -

Weather Forecast

The cold snap should finally end on Sunday! Mostly sunny skies and temps between -5 and -10 at upper elevations. Winds will be strong from the SW and no precipitation is expected.

Avalanche Summary

One slab avalanche was noted today on a steep Alpine feature on a NW aspect. This slide was full depth and fairly narrow, but ran approximately 250m. It occurred sometime in the past 24 hours.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs are present at Treeline and above on N, E and S aspects, while W aspects are scoured down to rock. Ski cutting produced some cracking today on wind loaded slopes immediately below ridge-crest, which indicates that human triggering is possible in the right terrain. Despite a week of very cold temperatures the mid-pack is holding onto it's strength, except in shallow snowpack areas. The basal facets and depth hoar are as bad as ever and are here to stay for the foreseeable future.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet
  • Avoid convexities, steep unsupported terrain and rocky outcroppings.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.

Regions covered