Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2020–Jan 15th, 2020

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Slow progression toward tolerable temperatures beginning today (Wednesday).

Caution is advised if you plan to venture out Ice Climbing; pillars and daggers will be extremely brittle in these cold temperatures.

Weather Forecast

The arctic air will continue to dominate the weather until Friday. A gradual warming trend will commence on Wednesday with the possibility of very light precip on Thursday. The CAA's Mountain Weather forecast now includes a more specific Alberta Rockies synopsis.

Snowpack Summary

Surface faceting at all elevations. Weakening midpack comprised of mixed forms and facets, bridging basal facets and DH. HS Average at TL: ~150cm.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.