Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Jan 9 – 10, 2021
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Archived · expired 6 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sun
Mon
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Winds have diminished except for the very high alpine but the wind-slabs have formed from previous days. Natural avalanche activity has decreased yet conservative terrain selection is advised, assess every slope and human triggering remains possible.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5

    Periodic SW winds continue to form wind slabs treeline and above. They appear to be stubborn with no natural activity observed the past 4 days but be vigilant for human triggering to remain possible.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–3

    Use caution around thin to thick areas where buried deeper weak layers could be triggered. The surface hoar layer down 40-70cm seems unreactive and spotty distribution but keep it on your radar.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–3

    When the snowpack is thick, this weakness should be well bridged and less susceptible to triggering. Triggering this deep layer would be low probability but high consequence.

Weather Forecast

Saturday will be cloudy, no new snow, -8C and light SW winds. Sunday will be clouds, sun, flurries, -10C, and light gusting moderate SW winds. Monday will bring 8cm of snow, -11, and light gusting moderate SW winds.

Snowpack Summary

The top layer is 40cm of new snow from Jan 3rd which has settled down to 20-30cm in sheltered spots or was redistributed by SW winds into wind-slabs at higher elevations. It overlies a sporadically distributed surface hoar and facet layer down 40-70cm. The mid-pack is supportive except in shallow locations. The bottom is weak facets and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

No Patrol on Friday and nothing reported. Thursday's patrol to the Icefield's had one size 3, N aspect, high alpine, 1m thick and 300m wide on the backside of Mushroom peak being a wind-loaded spot. Tuesday's Hilda patrol had no new. Sunday's explosive control had varied results with some size 3's. Use Mountain Information Network to report.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Regions covered