Avalanche forecast

Vancouver Island

Feb 17 – 18, 2025Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Storm slabs will be most reactive in steep wind-loaded areas such as near ridgecrests and rollovers. In isolated cases, slabs could step down to a deeper buried weak layer, resulting in large avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, skiers reported whumpfing and cracking (which are signs of an unstable snowpack) in the Mt. Cokely area.

On Thursday, a small (size 1) remote-triggered avalanche was reported on a north aspect at treeline. A few larger but older avalanches were also described. See the MIN report here.

If you are heading into the backcountry, consider posting a MIN.

Snowpack Summary

15 to 30 cm of new snow is covering a variety of surfaces including old wind-affected snow, facets or surface hoar in sheltered areas, or a hard crust on sunny slopes. At upper elevations, moderate southwesterly winds may be blowing the storm snow into fresh wind slabs on lee slopes. A widespread crust, sometimes accompanied by a thin layer of weak facets, is buried 30 to 70 cm beneath predominantly low-density snow. There is some concern for storm slabs potentially stepping down to this weak layer. Otherwise, the mid and lower snowpack contains no other layers of concern.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Cloudy with 0 to 7 cm of snow. 25 to 35 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level around 1000 m.

Monday

Cloudy with 0 to 2 cm of snow / light rain. 5 to 10 km/h variable ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 1400 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with 0 to 4 cm of snow. 30 to 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level around 1100 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 15 to 30 cm of snow. 70 to 80 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level around 1300 m

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep your guard up as storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

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