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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 28th, 2025–Jan 29th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Microwave-Sinclair, North Bulkley, South Bulkley, South Bulkley, South Bulkley, Telkwa.

If you see more than 20 cm of new snow, treat the danger as one level higher.

Storms slabs are more likely with higher snowfall amounts.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A rider triggered a large (size 2.5) slab avalanche on a southeast alpine slope on Sunday. The slab ranged from 20 to 100 cm deep with wind loading variability. The slab may have released on the persistent weak layer described in the Snowpack Summary. See this MIN for more information.

Snowpack Summary

It's uncertain how much snow will make it inland to the Smithers area. New snow will be coming with strong wind, which will leave deep deposits in lee slopes.

Under the new snow, recent warm temperatures are expected to have created a crust on all aspects, except perhaps treeline and above on northerly slopes.

A weak layer of facets and a crust from early December is buried roughly 50 to 100 cm deep.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with 10 cm of snow. 40 to 80 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with up to 5 cm of snow. 40 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Thursday

A mix of sun and cloud with 1 to 2 cm of snow. 15 km/h west then east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with 5 cm of snow. 10 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Don't let storm day fever lure you into consequential terrain.
  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.
  • Start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.