Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2025–Jan 15th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

East Kakwa, Tumbler.

A recent avalanche in the Tumbler area gives a precise idea of the type of terrain and snowpack to treat with extra caution under the current conditions.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A size 2 slab avalanche was reported from the Tom's Lake area on Sunday. Check out the MIN report here. The avalanche appears to have been a wind slab that failed on weak, faceted snow in the mid or lower snowpack. It occurred on a southwest aspect and is a good reminder that even old wind loaded pockets in otherwise thin, rocky snowpack areas should be treated with caution.

Keep posting your observations to the Mountain Information Network!

Snowpack Summary

Extreme northwest to southwest wind will likely have stripped all loose snow from exposed areas and deposited it far down slope.

The snowpack in this region is expected to be shallow with the middle and base made up of weak, sugary facet crystals. There is likely a crust at the base of the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with isolated flurries. 40 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind, easing. Freezing level 1500 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy with isolated flurries. 40 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level exceeding 0 °C as freezing levels peak at 2000 m in late afternoon.

Thursday

Cloudy with scattered flurries and a trace of new snow. 30 - 70 km/h west ridgetop wind, easing. Treeline temperature falling from 0 °C to -5 °C over the day as freezing level returns to valley bottom.

Friday

Mainly cloudy with lingering flurries and up to 5 cm, including overnight amounts. 10 - 20 km/h north ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature falling to -15 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, or recent avalanches.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rocky outcrops, and steep terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.