Avalanche forecast

Glacier

Dec 10 – 11, 2022Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 4 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

~45cm of low-density storm snow is making for some quality skiing and riding! Don't let the powdery conditions obscure your avalanche awareness.

Fresh slabs will remain reactive through the weekend. Adding to that, the weak layer from Nov. 17th persists as a major concern in isolated areas that have not seen previous heavy traffic or avalanche activity. If you don't know the history of a steep open slope, leave it for another time.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    30-40cm of low density new snow will build fresh slabs quickly with any input from the wind. With a forecast of moderate to strong South winds for Saturday morning, you can expect reactive slabs to be forming in exposed terrain at upper elevations.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    The Nov 17 surface hoar is down 60-90cm and most prevalent around tree line. This layer of large surface hoar continues to give 'sudden' results in snowpack tests, and produce dramatic whumfs in previously untraveled open glades.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Approximately 45cm of dry, low-density snow has fallen this week. This snow sits on a slippery Dec. 5th interface and may become more reactive as it settles in to a slab with incremental snowfalls, warming temps, and wind.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Pay attention to the wind, once it starts to blow fresh sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Saturday will be mainly cloudy with flurries, moderate to strong South wind at ridge top, an alpine high of -6*C, and freezing levels up to 1300m.

Sunday will be similar, with light winds and a few more sunny breaks as a ridge of high pressure sets up over the area.

Next week will start with a stable weather pattern - sunny periods, light winds, and seasonal temps.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, there was a cycle of loose dry avalanches, up to size 2 from the steep terrain in the Eastern highway corridor, and one size 3.0 storm slab from MacDonald gully number 9.

On Thursday, a field team triggered a small storm slab on a small slope, from an E aspect at treeline.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 45cm of low-density storm snow will form slabs quickly as the winds increase. This new snow sits on a slippery layer from Dec 5th, consisting of surface hoar, preserved stellars, facets and a thin suncrust.

The Nov 17th Surface Hoar is now buried 60-90cm below the surface. This layer continues to produce tree rattling whumpfs, as well as sudden snowpack test results, in untravelled clearings at and just below treeline.

Regions covered