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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 3rd, 2023–Dec 4th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos, Blue River, McBride, Premier, Quesnel, Sugarbowl, Clemina, North Monashee.

Use extra caution at treeline where surface hoar is well preserved.

Reports are coming in indicating that this layer is sensitive to human triggers.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Observations are limited in this region but conditions are likely similar to the forecast region to the south of this one. Several size one natural and skier triggered avalanches were reported in that region on Saturday. Many of these were remotely triggered. These avalanches were at treeline and on all aspects.

As more snow falls and the slab stiffens, we expect the size of avalanches to increase.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 40 cm of new snow has fallen on a layer of large surface hoar.  On steep south facing slopes this surface hoar may be found on a thin sun crust. On north and east facing slopes in the alpine new snow has formed wind slab.

The mid pack is generally unconsolidated. A crust with sugary facets beneath it can be found just above the ground.

The snowpack is still shallow for this time of year. Average snowpack depth at treeline range from 50 to 80 cm.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Partially cloudy with trace amounts of new snow expected, southwest alpine wind 20 to 50 km/h, treeline temperature -4°C.

Monday

Cloudy with up to 15 cm of new snow expected, south alpine wind 25 to 40 km/h, freezing level rising to around 2000 m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with up to 15 cm of new snow expected, southwest alpine wind 40 to 60 km/h, freezing level around 2200 m.

Wednesday

A mix of sun and cloud with trace amounts of new snow expected, south alpine wind  10 to 30 km/h, freezing level falling to 1100 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Early season avalanches at any elevation have the potential to be particularly dangerous due to obstacles that are exposed or just below the surface.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.