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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 17th, 2024–Dec 18th, 2024

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast, Powell River, North Shore, Sasquatch, Sasquatch, Sky Pilot, Tetrahedron, Harrison-Fraser.

Choose small, low consequence slopes with no overhead hazard.

Large, reactive storm slabs will have built overnight.

If the sky clears solar input could result in more natural avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several small natural slab avalanches were observed in steep terrain at treeline over the weekend.

If you are going out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

By early morning on December 18th 50 to 90 mm of precipitation could have fallen. This will initially fall as snow in the afternoon of the 17th and switch to rain overnight before switching back to snow by early morning on the 18th. The result will be dry snow over wet or moist snow. This precipitation will also be accompanied by strong southerly winds forming deeper deposits on northerly aspects.

A prominent crust is down 60 to 100 cm at treeline. A layer of surface hoar may be found in sheltered areas at treeline at this depth but it’s distribution is uncertain.

Snow depths taper substantially below 1000 m.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with 40 to 60 mm of precipitation expected. 40 to 70 km/h south ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising throughout the night to 2200 m.

Wednesday

Cloudy in the early morning and clearing in the afternoon. Up to 5 cm of snow in the early morning. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind shifting to 10 to 20 km/h west by early morning. Freezing level falling throughout the day to 1200 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with around 5 mm of rain expected. 40 to 60 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 2300 m.

Friday

Increasing cloud throughout the day. 30 to 40 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 2800 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Don't let storm day fever lure you into consequential terrain.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and sun exposure.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.