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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 10th, 2020–Feb 11th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Southern aspects getting a mix of strong winds and solar punch making conditions challenging.

Looks for sheltered north aspects for good, dry snow.

Weather Forecast

A re-shuffling of weather systems to remain offshore and so, for the near future should leave us with fairly benign weather conditions to the region over the next couple of days. Alpine wind speeds expected to abate to light values for Tuesday and Wednesday. 

See Weather synopsis here: Avalanche Canada Mountain Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

SW winds have created deep pockets of windslab and pronounced cornice development on North aspects. Mixed slab character, support and sensitivity in the mid-pack is bridging the deeper basal facets and depth hoar. Average HS at treeline: ~160cm.

Avalanche Summary

Previous large avalanches observed on Northerly aspects and triggered by large loads (like cornices).

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.