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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 13th, 2020–Feb 14th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia.

Be cautious on steep and wind affected slopes where triggering wind slab avalanches is possible.

Confidence

High - The number, quality, or consistency of field observations is good, and supports our confidence.

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY NIGHT: 5-15 cm of new snow, moderate wind from the west, alpine temperatures drop to -8 C.

FRIDAY: Scattered flurries with up to 5 cm of new snow, moderate wind from the west, alpine high temperatures around -6 C.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with 5-10 cm of new snow, moderate wind from the southwest, alpine high temperatures around -4 C.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with 5-10 cm of new snow, light wind from the west, alpine high temperatures around -6 C.

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday numerous size 1-2 wind slab avalanches ran naturally on a variety of aspects and elevations. Several small (size 1) human triggered slabs were triggered on steep north and east facing slopes. A similar pattern of wind slab avalanches has been observed over the past few days.

Snowpack Summary

30-70 cm of snow accumulating through the last week overlies older wind-affected snow at high elevations, or a melt-freeze or rain crust to a variable upper extent of 1700-2400 m in elevation. Moderate to strong winds have redistributed this new snow onto a variety of aspects.

The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong. Although isolated, there are two deeper weak layers that may persist in some areas. A weak layer of surface hoar buried 90 to 170 cm deep may be found across the north of the region while a facet/crust layer from November may be found near the ground in shallower snowpack areas.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.