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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 22nd, 2021–Mar 23rd, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

New snow and strong winds over the day Tuesday will likely form fresh, reactive wind slabs at upper elevations. In areas where less than 10 cm of new snow falls, avalanche hazard may be a step lower in the alpine.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast precipitation (either snow or rain) amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

Monday night: Cloudy with isolated flurries. Light to moderate westerly wind. Alpine temperature around -8. Freezing level valley bottom.

Tuesday: 10-20 cm of new snow in ranges north of Smithers, 5-10 cm in the south. Strong southwest winds. Alpine high temperatures around -4. Freezing level 1400 m.

Wednesday: 5-10 cm new snow. Light to moderate westerly wind. Alpine high temperatures around -5. Freezing level 1300 m.

Thursday: Mix of sun and cloud. Northwest wind increasing to strong. Alpine high temperatures around -7. Freezing level 1200 m.

Avalanche Summary

Reports of avalanche activity on Monday consisted of skier triggered size 1 loose dry out of steep terrain. Touchy storm slab conditions were observed on Saturday at Sinclair. Reactive wind slabs were reported in the Hudson Bay Mountain area on Friday prior to the storm.

Snowpack Summary

5-20 cm of new snow falls amid strong southwest wind. Near Smithers, 20-30 cm of snow from the past week (closer to 70-100 cm in the southwest) overlies hard wind affected snow at alpine elevations, potentially surface hoar crystals on sheltered north aspects, and melt-freeze crust on south aspects and below treeline. Recent observations suggest warm temperatures have aided bonding at this interface. At lower elevations, recently rain soaked, now refrozen and crusty surfaces are covered by a dusting of snow.

The mid and lower snowpack is reported as well settled and strong in most areas. However, weak facets exist at the base of the snowpack in the more shallow snowpack zones within much of the region and always have the potential of being triggered on steep, rocky slopes with a shallow or thin to thick snowpack; especially with large loads such as a cornice fall.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.