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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2026–Jan 15th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Crowsnest North, Crowsnest South, Elkford East, Elkford West.

A surface crust will create challenging travel conditions.

Watch for isolated pockets of wind slab in the alpine, if dry snow exists.

Confidence

High

  • We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast

Avalanche Summary

As temperatures rose on Tuesday, skiers triggered wet loose avalanches (size 1) from all aspects and elevations. Natural wet loose avalanches up to size 2 were observed from steep alpine terrain.

A crust will form on the surface overnight, making avalanche activity unlikely. If dry snow exists in high alpine terrain, human-triggered wind slab avalanches are possible.

Snowpack Summary

A crust or moist snow exists on the surface at most elevations due to recent rain and warm temperatures. This crust overlies moist snow or firm, wind-packed snow in the alpine and treeline.

In parts of the region, a buried surface hoar layer may exist roughly 40 cm below the surface, but it is likely a non-issue following this warming event.

A crust exists in the midpack at treeline and below, and a crust and facets can be found near the base of the snowpack.

The average snowpack depth at treeline is roughly 120 to 200 cm.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy. 30 to 60 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 2000 m.

Thursday
Mostly sunny. 20 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

Friday
Sunny. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C. Freezing level 300 m.

Saturday
Sunny. 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1700 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Wind slabs are isolated, but may remain reactive.
  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • Rocks will heat up with daytime warming and may become trigger points for loose wet avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.