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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 27th, 2015–Jan 28th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Wind slabs in the Alpine and open areas at Treeline remain the principal concern, but also keep an eye on the solar radiation effect on steep sunny slopes. Ski quality remains poor due to widespread crusts and wind effected snow.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud on Wednesday with highs near -6 in the Alpine. Winds will shift to the NW and diminish in speed significantly. No precipitation is expected until at least Saturday.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today. Minor snowballing observed on steep solar aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Cooler overnight temperatures formed thick crusts on the snowpack at lower elevations and thinner crusts at Treeline elevations. These crusts were breaking down on steep solar aspects by midday. The snowpack continues to settle with the mild weather. Wind slabs are dominant in Alpine areas and open areas at Treeline, especially on N and E aspects. Test results at 2180m today indicate shears down 10 to 20cm in the easy to moderate range and hard shears on the mid-December layer down 35 to 50cm (depending on aspect and elevation). The November weak basal layers remain a concern.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.