Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 18th, 2013–Mar 19th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Purcells.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Monday night: Light snow. Moderate NW winds. Alpine temperature near -15.Tuesday: No snow. Sunshine. Moderate SW winds. Alpine temperature near -10.Wednesday: Moderate to heavy snow (15-25 cm). Strong to extreme SW winds. Alpine temperature near -4.Thursday: Light snow. Light SW winds. Alpine temperature near -10.

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, skiers triggered several small soft slabs and sluffs on wind-loaded or steep terrain. On Sunday, a natural cycle to size 2.5 was observed in the Bugaboos on a variety of aspects in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

New snow was shifted into reactive slabs by strong SW-NE winds on Monday. Deep and cohesive storm slabs which formed last week are slowly gaining strength, but are not yet fully settled. A weak layer of surface hoar and/or a crust sits about 50-120 cm below the surface. It’s of most concern in the alpine. (At low elevations, it’s likely to be difficult to trigger underneath a supportive crust). This layer will probably linger, with ‘low probability/ high consequence’ type character. A facet/crust layer sits at the base of the snowpack in some places.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.