Avalanche forecast

North Columbia

Nov 29 – 30, 2017Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Expect the avalanche hazard to increase throughout the day on Thursday as new snow accumulates.

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2
    New wind and snow on Thursday will form reactive new storm slabs. Storm slabs may be larger than expected in areas where underlying crusts remain reactive.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Thursday: 8-15cm of new snow / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 1100m Friday: 3-5cm of new snow / Light southerly winds / Freezing level at 1100mSaturday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light southerly winds / Freezing level at 900m

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported. This may speak more to a lack of observations rather than actual conditions. I'd expect a round of storm slab avalanche activity on Thursday with forecast snow and wind. We currently have very limited observations in this region. Please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20cm of new snow has fallen in the past few days. I'd expect reactive storm slabs to exist in wind-exposed terrain or in places where the recent storm snow has a weak bond with a series of crusts from late November which lie up to 30cm below the surface.Another feature in the snowpack is a 3-5 cm thick crust which was formed around Halloween and can be found approximately 100cm down at treeline elevations. This layer is generally stubborn to trigger; however, I'd be increasingly cautious of it in the north of the region where it may remain reactive. The depth of the snowpack varies greatly with elevation. Recent reports suggest the average depth is 200+cm in the alpine, 100-150cm at treeline, and decreasing rapidly below treeline where the primary hazards are rocks, stumps, and open creeks. We currently have very limited snowpack observations within this region and it is critical to supplement this information with your own observations.

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