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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 30th, 2018–Jan 31st, 2018

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

Highway 93 from Sask Crossing to Jasper remains closed until Thursday due to Avalanche danger and control work ongoing.

Weather Forecast

Snowfall tapering off and broken skies and seasonal cool temperatures through tomorrow will persist into Thursday. Friday will see a return of snowfall that will carry through the weekend as a cooler arctic high stalls moister Pacific air over the forecast zone.

Snowpack Summary

30-50cm of new storm snow arriving with warm temps and moderate winds have created both wind and storm slabs that have naturally avalanched on steeper terrain in the Icefields area of the forecast zone. Failure layers are assumed to be one or a combination of the 3 weak interfaces in the top half of the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control on Parkers Ridge today produced several size 2 avalanches, and one size 2.5  Avalanches are occasionally stepping down to a deeper persistent slab. Numerous natural size 2 avalanches and two size 3 avalanches failed during the storm overnight on solar aspects above treeline. Avalanche crowns were 50cm-80cm deep and to 150m wide.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.