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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 12th, 2015–Feb 13th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Mt Hood.

Although less likely, the primary avalanche problems Friday will continue to be loose wet avalanches near and above treeline and lingering wind slab on lee aspects above treeline.

Detailed Forecast

Mild temperatures will prevail again on Friday with mid and high overcast. 

Loose wet avalanches are possible Friday on steeper slopes near and above treeline where recently fallen snow remains.    

As a result of the overall low snowpack, especially below treeline, watch for terrain hazards such as open creeks, partially covered rocks and vegetation.

Snowpack Discussion

The latest warm and moist southwesterly flow to impact the Pacific Northwest brought less rain to Mt. Hood compared to areas in the WA Cascades late last week. This led to further overall snowpack melt at lower elevations.   

The last frontal system crossed the south Cascades late Monday. This caused strong winds and heavy snow in the above treeline zone at Mt Hood.

On Tuesday, the Meadow pro-patrol reported 15 inches of new snow at 6600 feet. Avalanche control gave numerous size 1-2 wind and storm slab avalanches on lee slopes but with limited propagation. Similar wind slab concerns were reported on lee east aspects west of Timberline Tuesday on the NWAC observation page.  

On Wednesday, Mt. Hood Meadows pro-patrol reported high overcast had limited the loose wet potential on an otherwise mild winter's day, and no new avalanches were observed.  The latest indications from patrol were that wind and storm slab formed Monday, has stabilized under the mild weather over the past few days. 

The mid and lower snowpack at Mt Hood should consist of layers of stable consolidated rounded grains or melt forms and crusts from multiple warm periods this winter.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.