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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

May 2nd, 2014–May 3rd, 2014

Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Glacier.

May 2 is the final day for the Winter Permit System. Contact the Visitor Safety staff at Glacier National Park for help with safe trip planning in the spring and summer seasons.

Weather Forecast

Watch for periods of warming in the form of sun or rain to weaken the surface crusts. If above freezing conditions persist through overnight periods, the poor recovery of surface crusts and further heating may affect deeper layers. Spring storms will undoubtedly bring additional snow to the area, so watch for new wind slabs to form .

Snowpack Summary

Melt/freeze cycles have created surface crusts on all but high North facing slopes. As new snow accumulates over these crusts, watch for storm slab and wind slab problems to arise. Cornices will weaken with warm spring temp's. Overall, expect the snowpack to become less stable during the heat of the day.

Avalanche Summary

As the snowpack continues to warm and lose strength, large avalanche events will occur into the spring and summertime. Cornices will begin to droop and will cause sizeable avalanches as the spring progresses.

Confidence

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.