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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 13th, 2016–Mar 14th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Although temperatures have cooled, the spring sun is strong and can have a major effect on avalanche danger and cornices. Careful decision making is still required with multiple avalanche problems.

Weather Forecast

A break in the stormy weather today with a mix of sun and cloud. Freezing levels have dropped with the passing of a cold front and will climb to 1500m this afternoon. Moderate ridge winds from the south with gusts to 45km/hr.  An intense low pressure system arrives later tonight with another 10cm of accumulation.  Cool weather continues this week.

Snowpack Summary

10cm of new snow and strong southerly winds overnight. Wind slabs are widespread in the alpine and treeline. Warm temps and strong sun formed surface crust below 1700m and on solar aspects. Feb 27 is down 50-70cm is most reactive where SH overlies a sun crust. Feb 10 is down 100-120 and reactive in isolated locations. Well settled & strong below.

Avalanche Summary

Four size 2 avalanches with moist deposits were observed in the highway corridor yesterday.

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.