Avalanche forecast

South Rockies

Jan 10 – 11, 2015Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Keep the persistent slab problem in mind when you choose terrain this week. The likelihood of triggering it may be low, but the consequences could be high.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–3
    Recent West or Northwest winds have probably created fresh wind slabs in exposed lee terrain. 
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–4
    A buried persistent weakness, down 30-50 cm, should remain on your radar as it has the potential to produce large avalanches.

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Only trace amounts of snow are expected throughout the forecast period. Overcast conditions are forecast for Sunday, although skies should become increasingly clear on Monday and Tuesday as a dry ridge of high pressure becomes the dominant air mass. Ridgetop winds should remain generally light, while freezing levels will remain at valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

Below treeline and on south-facing slopes there may be a melt-freeze crust overlying up to 20 cm of recent snow. At higher elevations the new snow has been blown into wind slabs in exposed lee terrain. The recent snow sits on hard wind slabs in exposed terrain, and low density faceted snow in sheltered areas. Up to 75 cm below the surface you will likely find a hard, thick crust which formed mid-December. This crust has overlying facets and surface hoar (up to 10 mm in sheltered locations at treeline and below). This layer seems variably reactive throughout the region. In areas where the overlying slab is thick and cohesive, large avalanches are possible at this interface. A crust/facet combo which formed in November seems to have gone dormant for the time being.

Regions covered