Regions
Northwest Coastal.
The snowpack needs time to adjust to the shock of a big, long awaited storm. With surface hoar and sugary facets below the new snow it may take longer than usual to stabilize.
Weather Forecast
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Dry. Light west wind. Treeline temperatures around -6 C.WEDNESDAY: Moderate to strong south wind. Treeline temperatures around -8 C. Snow starting late in the day and overnight; 10 to 15 cm accumulations by Thursday morning. Cloudy.THURSDAY: Moderate to strong southwest wind. Treeline temperatues -5 to -10 C. Light snow with an additional 5 to 10 cm. CloudyFRIDAY: Moderate south wind. Warmer with treeline temperatures approaching zero. Trace new snow. Cloudy.
Avalanche Summary
One size 2 windslab in the north of the region is worth noting: it was remotely triggered from 100 m away suggesting some sort of a persistent slab structure that won't heal overnight.In the south part of the region clouds limited observations but avalanche reports include numerous natural size 2 avalanches on all kinds of terrain 35 degrees or steeper, numerous remotely triggered size 2 slides. I suspect we'll learn more when the visibility improves and people see more terrain.
Snowpack Summary
Monday's widespread and reactive storm slabs and wind slabs should be settling down by Wednesday with the exception of colder, more northerly areas which have significantly more "wintery" temperatures. Expect instabilities to last longer in places like Bear Pass or Ningunsaw.The 40 to 60 cm of storm snow buried a wide variety of surfaces with the key idea being they're pretty much all crappy. Rule of thumb: the longer snow is exposed on the surface the less likely it'll bond when buried. Recently covered were surface hoar, sun crusts, and a widespread weak faceted (sugary) upper snowpack. It seems the old surfaces (aka Feb 19 surface hoar / facets) were as much the critical weak interface as the bottom of the storm snow.The lower snowpack is generally strong.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Persistent Slabs
Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.