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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 4th, 2019–Feb 5th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

Increased reactivity of the Jan 17 surface hoar/crust layer is due to recent loading of storm snow. Distribution is spotty, so dig down to verify if this layer is present in your local area.

Weather Forecast

A arctic ridge of high pressure will linger in the bulletin region for the remainder of the week. Temperatures will remain frigid, with evening lows down to -30. A temperature inversion has set in at higher elevations. Light winds, sunny skies and temperatures in the low negative teens will make the alpine the place to be.

Snowpack Summary

Recent snow and wind have created wind slab on lee alpine slopes. At treeline elevations, up to 65cm of snow sits over the Jan.17 surface hoar. In shallower areas weak facets and depth hoar exist below the Dec 10 interface. In deeper snow packs this basal weaknesses is less pronounced.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported or observed today. Evidence of a widespread natural avalanche cycle to size 2.5 from the weekend is visible at tree line and above. Recent reports have noted skier triggered avalanches to size 1.5 on the Jan 17 SH layer. As the recent storm snow continues to settle we can expect larger propagations on this weak layer.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.