Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 13th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Deep Persistent Slabs and Loose Dry.

Avalanche Canada JA, Avalanche Canada

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10cm new snow fell overnight Sunday. This will make for good quality riding but will also hide previous wind slab in exposed tree line and alpine features. Natural avalanche activity may be tapering off but human triggering of large avalanches remains possible.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

One size 2 wind slab that stepped down to the basal facets was observed in the alpine on Monday in the Icefields area.

Natural avalanches up to size 2.5 were observed in the Icefields region, initiating in alpine and exposed tree line features on Saturday.

Avalanche control with explosives last Wednesday resulted in numerous large avalanches both wind slab and deep persistent slab running to the bottom of the avalanche paths.

Don't forget to post avalanche observations to the MIN.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 10cm overnight on Sunday added to the 30cm since February 7 in the Icefields area. Previous and present southwest winds had stripped exposed terrain in the alpine and continue to add to wind slab development in exposed tree line and alpine features. Generally the mid and bottom of the snowpack is weak facets with depth hoar at the base. Height of snow is variable from 50 to 150cm.

Weather Summary

A surface ridge is establishing Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect a mix of sun and cloud with light northerly winds on Tuesday. Similar on Wednesday with wind increasing to moderate values from the west. A low pressure system is expected to bring light precipitation late Thursday into Friday with winds increasing to strong values from the west. Freezing level will remain at valley bottom in the Icefields area.

Detailed weather forecasts from Avalanche Canada: https://www.avalanche.ca/weather/forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind exposed terrain.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Previous strong to extreme southwest winds have created wind slab in the alpine and exposed tree line. These slabs will be difficult to visualize with the new 10cm of low density snow on top.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The bottom of the snow pack is inherently weak with well developed Facets and Depth Hoar. Numerous large natural and explosive triggered avalanches in the past week have run on this layer.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

Expect sluffing of the new snow especially in steep solar terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Feb 14th, 2023 4:00PM

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