Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Coast.
Slipping and injuring yourself on hard rain crust is more likely than an avalanche right now. Let's hope for lower freezing levels with our next storm!
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
Wednesday night: Increasigly dry flurries bringing about 5 cm of new snow to the alpine. Light west winds.
Thursday: Mainly sunny. Light northwest winds. Treeline temperatures of -2 to -4, falling over the day.
Friday: Increasing high cloud. Light variable winds. Treeline high temperatures around -1.
Saturday: Cloudy with continuing flurries from the overnight period bringing 15-20 cm of new snow.
Avalanche Summary
Recent heavy rain followed by a solid refreeze over Wednesday night should effectively eliminate avalanche concerns for Thursday.
Snowpack Summary
A dusting of new snow may exist in the alpine, however heavy rain has otherwise drenched the snowpack at all elevations. Strong surface crusts should form at all elevations over Wednesday night and effectively lock the snowpack in place underneath any skiff of new snow that may have accumulated in the alpine.
Treeline snow depths in advance of the storm were around 80-100 cm but rain has eroded some of this. Much of treeline and all but the uppermost below treeline elevations still below threshold depths for avalanches.
Terrain and Travel
- When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.