Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 22nd, 2014 4:15PM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada snow safety, Avalanche Canada

We will see a slow rise in hazard through the early part of next week. New wind slabs building over the basal November rain crust will be the layer to watch. SH

Summary

Weather Forecast

A westerly flow will dominate for the forecast, bringing mod-strong alpine winds and increased moisture flow. So far only a few cm are expected each day on Sunday and Monday. On Tuesday forecasts are calling for 10-15cm at higher elevations which will make conditions more prone to human triggering.

Snowpack Summary

Below treeline there is not enough snow yet for avalanches. A supportive rain crust above 1900m formed in early Nov. and lies 20-40cm above the ground. How high this rain crust exists has yet to be determined. This along with surface hoar in some areas is being buried by light snow this weekend. Some lee gullies have thin windslabs.

Avalanche Summary

One small skier triggered avalanche was reported in the Bow Summit Area two days ago. Ski hills are seeing small (1.5) wind slabs 20-40cm thick being triggered in very steep terrain.  These aren't yet big enough to bury a skier or climber, but could push you off of a cliff or into a terrain trap.

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Isolated, small wind slabs have been triggered on the November rain crust in the Sunshine area and seen in alpine gullies. These would be of consequence in the back country if triggered in a terrain trap or if it knocked you off of a cliff.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Nov 23rd, 2014 4:00PM