Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 17th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada lbaker, Avalanche Canada

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Dangerous avalanche conditions exist where buried weak layers lie within the snowpack. Stick to conservative terrain and diligently practice good travel habits throughout your day.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, a few natural wind slab avalanches were observed on east facing lee terrain features in the alpine.

Persistent slab avalanche activity seems to have tapered in the past few days. That being said, explosive control has consistently produced small to large (size 1.5 to 2.5) slab avalanches across the region over the past week. These avalanches all occurred above 2200 m and have failed on both surface hoar and facet layers.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 15 cm of recent snow a strong has been redistributed by strong westerly winds into deep pockets in lees. This overlies a variety of surfaces including a surface hoar layer, sun crust, and wind-affected snow.

A prominent rain crust is found 30 to 50 cm deep and has been reported to extend as high as 2300 m around Invermere and 2000 m around Golden. A layer of surface hoar is also found at this depth and is a particular concern in areas without a thick crust.

The lower snowpack contains large weak snow grains and in some places a hard crust near the ground. Typical snowpack depths at treeline are 60 to 110 cm, and taper rapidly below treeline.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy with clear periods with, alpine wind west 40 km/h, treeline temperature -4 °C.

Monday

Mix of sun and cloud, alpine wind southwest 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -3 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with isolated flurries, 1 to 5 cm accumulation, alpine wind southwest 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -4 °C.

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries, 2 to 3 cm accumulation, alpine wind west 30 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Surface hoar distribution is highly variable. Avoid generalizing your observations.
  • Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Choose terrain assuming there are buried weak layers capable of producing large avalanches. A 30 to 60 cm deep surface hoar layer is triggerable in areas without a rain crust, and weak facets sit at the base of the snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Human-triggering wind slab avalanches remains possible on leeward terrain features such as ridge crests and roll-overs in the alpine.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 18th, 2023 4:00PM

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