Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 5th, 2025 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeWind slabs may not be fully bonded yet in wind-loaded areas, while dangerous weak layers hide deeper in the snowpack.
Wind-sheltered, low-consequence terrain is recommended.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Large natural and human-triggered persistent slab avalanches have occurred since Sunday on the persistent weak layer buried in early December. The most concerning area has been in the Goat Range.A recent avalanche, classified as a size 1.5 persistent slab, was triggered by a vehicle northwest of Kaslo on Friday. The slide occurred below treeline. This problem is slowly starting to improve, but deserves patience and continued vigilance.
Snowpack Summary
A thin crust overlies 20 to 30 cm of soft snow in most areas. This sits on a layer of surface hoar in isolated locations and a crust on sun-affected slopes.
A persistent weak layer that consists of a crust with overlying facets and/or surface hoar, is buried 90 to 120 cm. While this layer is widespread, it is expected to be most problematic on north through east-facing slopes between 1700 and 2300 m.
At treeline, snow depths range from 100 to 180 cm.
Weather Summary
Sunday night
Cloudy 20 to 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.
Monday
Scattered cloud. 10 to 20 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny. 20 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.
Wednesday
Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
- Use conservative route selection and resist venturing into complex terrain.
- Avoid steep terrain, including convex rolls, or areas with a thin, rocky, or variable snowpack.
- Be careful as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Sporadic, persistent slab avalanches continue to occur. While this avalanche problem is becoming more stubborn to trigger, it comes with serious consequences.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Wind Slabs
Recent easterly winds have formed wind slabs in a reverse loading pattern. Avoid wind-loaded areas, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 6th, 2025 4:00PM