Avalanche Forecast

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Wednesday: Increasing cloud with with the possibility of  light snow starting late in the day, freezing levels near valley bottoms, and associated strong southeasterly winds overnight. Thursday: Light snow tapering off throughout the day primarily in southern coastal areas, freezing level dropping to sea level, and moderate to strong southeasterly winds. Friday: Clear and cold with strong northeasterly winds.

Reports from Monday include a few small 10-20cm deep naturally releasing storm and wind slabs north of Stewart, as well as some sloughing on isolated steep slopes below treeline. We have had no reports from popular recreational spots in the region. Let us know what you are seeing at [email protected].

As we begin our forecasting season, we are working with limited information from the field. Early reports suggest there's enough snow for avalanches at alpine and some treeline elevations. Recent snow has likely been redistributed by gusty and variable winds into slabs on lee slopes at alpine and treeline elevations. This snow may overlie a weak old snow surface (surface hoar, facets and/or a crust) which developed during November's dry spell. Check the bond of the snowpack at this level and take a cautious approach as new snow builds deeper above this layer.