Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 20th, 2012–Mar 21st, 2012

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Light convective snowfall - 5-15cm. The freezing level rises to 400-500m during the day. Winds are moderate from the SW. Thursday: Isolated flurries with possible sunny breaks in the afternoon. Freezing level rising to 600m. Winds are light from the SE. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. Freezing level rising to 600-800m during the day.

Avalanche Summary

There has been very little recent avalanche activity aside from a few cornice failures, most of which did not trigger a slab below. Expect to find small pockets of wind slab in steep exposed terrain that could be triggered.

Snowpack Summary

5-15cm of new snow sits on the previous snow surface which included a sun crust on southerly aspects, surface facets or surface hoar in cool shady areas, and pockets of wind slab in exposed terrain. A variety of potential weak layers exist between 60 and 120cm deep. These include surface hoar or facets. There has been no recent activity on these layers but they could wake up with heavy triggers like a large cornice chunk or a snowmobile digging its track in. Cornices in the region are reported to be very large and potentially unstable.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New wind slabs may form in exposed lee and cross-loaded terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Cornices

Cornices are reported to be very large and potentially unstable at this time. A cornice fall could be destructive by itself, and may also act as a trigger on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 6