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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 12th, 2018–Mar 13th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Spring has arrived! Daytime warming and strong solar radiation will destabilize surface layers as the day progresses. Loose wet avalanches are certain on steep solar aspects.

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud for today with freezing levels up to 2100m and light southerly winds. Tuesday through Wednesday freezing levels are forecast to rise up to 2700m with an alpine high up to 4C.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is beginning to transition to a spring snowpack. Two days of strong sun has heated the surface and created a crust on solar aspects. Above freezing temps at valley bottom have created a surface crust below ~1500m. The recent storm snow with strong S'ly winds created pockets of windslab in the alpine. Deep PWLs are buried over 1.5m.

Avalanche Summary

Solar aspects are shedding their surface layers of snow throughout the forecast area. Several avalanches to size 3 from steep solar aspects in the highway corridor. These slides started as early as noon yesterday.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.