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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 5th, 2022–Mar 6th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Great skiing at the moment! Recent storm snow is settling well but exposed terrain is holding pockets of wind slab.

Weather Forecast

Sunday: A mix of sun & cloud with no precipitation. Alpine high -7 C. Wind W 10-20 km/h. Freezing level 1400m.

Monday: A mix of sun & cloud with isolated flurries and trace precipitation. Alpine temp Low -14 C, high -7. Wind NW 10-25. Freezing level valley bottom.

Tuesday: Some cloud with isolated flurries & trace precipitation. Alpine temp low -23 C

Snowpack Summary

Sun crust forming on solar aspects. 10-30cm of recent storm snow is settling well and so far has only been a concern in exposed areas where wind slab development has occurred. A crust down 25-40cm is decomposing but can still be found below 2500m on south aspects. A widespread weak facet layer still lurks at the bottom of the snowpack in all areas.

Avalanche Summary

One natural size 2 cornice avalanche was observed on Thursday on Churchill. This cornice failure entrained loose dry snow below. Pin wheeling noted on steep solar aspects at tree line and below. No additional observations.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.