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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 8th, 2022–Mar 9th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

The forecast calls for lots of sun with only a few clouds! The wind will pick up in the afternoon and form fresh wind slabs where soft snow is available for transport. 

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Tuesday night: Clear with cloudy periods, trace of new snow, light northeast wind, alpine low -15 °C, freezing level at valley bottom. 

Wednesday: Mostly sunny with some clouds, light east wind switching to strong west wind in the afternoon, alpine high -8 °C, freezing level at valley bottom.

Thursday: Cloudy, 5-10 cm snow, strong west and southwest wind, alpine high -6 °C, freezing level at valley bottom.

Friday: Mainly cloudy, 5-10 cm snow, strong to extreme southwest wind, alpine high -1 °C, freezing level around 1200 m.

Avalanche Summary

A skier triggered a small size 1 wind slab on a northeast facing slope in the alpine. Numerous small natural wind slab avalanches were observed as well as one large wind slab avalanche of size 2 in steep north facing alpine terrain. A deep persistent slab of size 3 was observed to the east, outside the forecasting region.

On Sunday, a large natural slab avalanche of size 2 was observed on a steep alpine slope and likely released on a crust that was buried mid-February. Several small (size 1) wind slab avalanches released naturally in the alpine and at treeline. Riders triggered a small (size 1.5) wind slab on a convex roll in the alpine. The avalanche was about 30 cm deep. Warm temperatures triggered numerous small loose wet avalanches in the alpine and at treeline. 

A large (size 2) slab avalanche was likely triggered by a failed cornice on Saturday. Small loose wet avalanches were reported on Friday. 

Snowpack Summary

The snow surface is heavily wind affected in wind exposed areas. On solar aspects, the snow surface has a crust below around 1000 m. 10-20 cm of snow overlie a layer of feathery surface hoar that was buried at the beginning of March. This layer can be found in isolated, wind sheltered areas. It was reactive to skier traffic in the north of the region on Monday. 

The mid-February crust is now buried 40-60 cm deep. Though this layer has not produced avalanche activity, professionals in the area are still treating it with suspicion. Cornices are looming in alpine areas. 

The lower snowpack is well bridged by the mid-February crust, and triggering avalanches below this layer is unlikely at this time. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Fresh wind slabs will likely form throughout the day, diligently watch for changing conditions.
  • Minimize your exposure time below cornices.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.