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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 27th, 2021–Dec 28th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos.

The best riding and safest avalanche conditions can be found in terrain that hasn't seen wind. Make conservative decisions with the temperatures in mind, pay attention to the daylight and leave plenty of time to get home safely.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the speed, direction, or duration of the wind and its effect on the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

Arctic air continues to maintain cold and clear conditions across the Cariboos.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. No significant precipitation. Light southwest wind at 2000m, moderate northwest upper level winds. Alpine temperatures around -28 C.

Tuesday Partly cloudy with isolated flurries. Light northwest wind becoming moderate in the afternoon. Alpine high -24 C.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Moderate northwest wind. Alpine high -25 C.

Thursday: Flurries bringing around 5 cm overnight then clearing. Light to moderate northerly wind. Alpine high of -24 C.

Avalanche Summary

The only report of avalanche activity we have received is of a small natural avalanche cycle up to size 1.5 near Valemount, suspected to have run during the storm last week.

Recent winds from all directions are also expected to have created a wind slab problem on many aspects, sensitive to human triggering. 

If you head into the mountains, please submit your findings and photos to the Mountain Information Network!

Snowpack Summary

25-40cm of low density has accumulated over the past week. Recent winds from all directions have created deeper deposits in wind loaded features at treeline and above. On the western side of the Cariboos, a thin crust sits 5cm deep in the snow snow. This will limit the extent of wind transport possible, but may also create reactivity as winds build slabs above this layer.

The crust formed by the early December rain event sits 60-100cm deep and is found up to 1800m in the southern Cariboos. In most terrain the snow above is well bonded to the crust. In areas where the crust is buried deeper than one meter, it has begun to decompose and show limited reactivity. The most recent reactivity was located in treeline terrain west of Blue River, use extra caution around large, unsupported slopes at treeline in this area.

Terrain and Travel

  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Loose avalanches may start small but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.