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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 2nd, 2025–Feb 3rd, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary, Bonnington, Grohman, Kootenay Pass, Norns, Rossland, Ymir, Crawford, Moyie, St. Mary.

Although natural avalanche activity is tapering off new snow remains reactive to human triggering due to a buried weak layer.

Check out the new Forecaster Blog "Shifting your Mindset".

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, numerous natural and human triggered storm slab avalanches were reported on all aspects, size 1 to 2.5.

Of note, a suspected skier remote triggered, size 2.5 storm slab avalanche in Whitewater area. This occurred on a north facing treeline slope. The crown was 30 to 70 cm deep and ran on a buried layer of surface hoar.

A size 3 vehicle controlled avalanche was reported on an east facing alpine feature. We suspect this avalanche ran on a buried layer of surface hoar.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow totals range from 30 to 55 cm. Deeper deposits are found in wind-loaded areas. The new snow is bonding poorly to old surfaces, which include melt-freeze crusts on sun-exposed slopes, surface hoar or facets on shaded slopes, and wind-affected snow in exposed terrain.

A weak layer of surface hoar buried, 30 to 80cm deep, has been the culprit of many natural and human-triggered avalanches through the weekend. Where this layer is preserved it will remain reactive to human triggering.

The lower snowpack is strong and bonded.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Cloudy with light flurries, 2 to 8 cm of snow. 10 to 20 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy with light flurries, 1 to 3 cm of snow. 10 to 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and clouds with a chance of flurries, trace accumulations. 5 to 15 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Wednesday

Clear. 5 to 15 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -15 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.
  • Start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.