Avalanche forecast

South Rockies

Mar 11 – 12, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Storm slabs will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.

Persistent slabs remain possible to human trigger at treeline and above.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1.5–3

    Persistent slabs remain possible to human trigger at treeline and above, especially in areas without a supportive crust above the weak layer.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Forecast 15 to 25 cm of snow and strong southwest wind on Wednesday night will form storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are confident that there are persistent slabs in the snowpack, but uncertain about how likely they are to trigger.
  • We are uncertain about forecast snowfall amounts.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, several natural cornice failures up to size 2.5 and several naturally triggered wind slabs up to size 1.5 were reported on primarily north/east aspects in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

Forecast 15 to 25 cm of snow and strong southwest wind on Wednesday night will form storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.

Under the recent snow is a crust on all aspects, which extends to around 1500 m near Golden, rising to 2100 m further south. Where this crust is absent or unsupportive, concern remains for a persistent weak layer of surface hoar or crust buried 50 to 70 cm deep, and up to 100 cm down in deeper snowpacks such as the Dogtooth Range.

In shallow snowpack areas, depth hoar (large facets) can be found near the bottom of the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Cloudy. 15 to 25 cm of snow. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Thursday
Mostly cloudy. 0 to 5 cm of snow. 60 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Friday
Mostly cloudy. 0 to 5 cm of snow. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Saturday
Mix of sun and clouds. 0 to 5 cm of snow. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Use small, low consequence slopes to test the bond of the new snow.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, or recent avalanches.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind-exposed terrain.

Regions covered