Avalanche Forecast

No new avalanches in our area but there were three wind slab avalanches just to the north. These were triggered naturally and with ski cuts. They ranged in size from 1 to 2.5.

Although persistent and deep persistent avalanches have been on the decline, it is important to keep it on our radar as incoming snow takes time to settle.

New snow will be falling on a snowpack that within its top 50 cm contains several layers that could pose a threat with this new load.

Faceted snow, surface hoar (3 to 10 mm), and a crust are already buried 10 to 20 cm down. The surface hoar is found in sheltered areas up to 2200 m and the crust is present on steep solar aspects. At high elevations, new snow will be covering up older wind slabs.

A freezing rain or rime crust buried on January 18 now sits about 15 to 30 cm deep. More layers of concern (crusts, facets, and surface hoar) can be found in the upper snowpack between 30 to 50 cm down. They have yet to produce avalanche activity but they are something to keep an eye on.

Our main layers of concern include a surface hoar layer developed in early January, down roughly 50 to 70 cm, and a melt-freeze crust from late December that is now down approximately 70-90 cm. These layers are responsible for our persistent slab problem.

Our deep persistent slab problem stems from a weak layer created in mid-November and it is now buried 100 to 190 cm deep. These layers are a major concern and can produce large or even very large avalanches with human or machine triggers.

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy, 8 to 20 cm accumulation focused mostly in the eastern areas of our region, winds northeast 15 km/h gusting to 50, treeline temperatures falling to -10 C by morning.

Saturday

Increasing sun, trace accumulation ending in the morning, winds northeast 15 km/h gusting to 40, treeline temperatures -15 C.

Sunday

Sunny, no accumulation, winds northeast 25 km/h, treeline temperatures -20 C.

Monday

Sunny, no accumulation, winds southwest 20 km/h, -15 C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

• Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
• Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeply buried weak layers resulting in very large avalanches.
• Carefully assess open slopes and convex rolls where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
• Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
• In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.