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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 30th, 2012–Dec 31st, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Monday: An upper ridge of HIGH pressure will cause temperatures in the alpine to dip to about -16.0 overnight. An inversion is expected to develop in the alpine during the day which may cause temperatures to be near zero at ridge tops with cloud in the valleys. Clear skies may cause some solar warming on steep Southwest thru West aspects. Light Northerly winds and no precipitation.Tuesday: Continued mostly clear skies and valley cloud. Light Northerly winds and no precipitation.Wednesday: Cloud and very light precipitation as a weak front brushes the North of the region.

Avalanche Summary

Loose snow avalanches up to size 1.5 continue to be reported from steep terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Surface hoar continues to grow on all aspects and at all elevations, report from Allen Creek observed up to 20 mm. The 10-20cm of new low density snow has been lightly redistributed by the wind creating wind slabs in isolated locations and burying a small layer of surface hoar or facets. These are sitting on a generally well-settled mid-pack. Deep persistent instabilities (surface hoar and an early November crust, respectively) located in the middle and near the bottom of the snowpack may still be a concern but there's little recent evidence of them being reactive.

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.