Avalanche forecast

Ohau

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory
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Avalanche danger

High Alpine · above 1,800 m
1 · Low
Alpine · 1,200 m–1,800 m
1 · Low
Sub Alpine · below 1,200 m
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 weeks ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Small loose wet avalanches are still possible out of steep terrain when the sun heats things up.

Time your turns for the Goldilocks zone (not too firm, not too slushy) or work the shady aspects and there should be some great skiing.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    With sunny weather forecast for Tuesday, small loose wet avalanches could run out of steep, rocky terrain on sunny slopes. Watch for rollerballing or wet, sticky snow - both common signs that the snowpack is losing strength.

  • Wind Slabs

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    Increasing winds on Tuesday could build small windslabs above around 2000m on sheltered, south facing slopes, especially in the north and west of the forecast area.

    These could develop through the day, so watch out for blowing snow, wind-texture, deeper drifts, or other signs of wind loading.

Mountain Weather

Mainly fine, with morning frosts.

Wind at 1000 metres: Northeasterly 40 km/h developing early afternoon.

Wind at 2000 metres: Northeasterly 40 km/h developing in the morning, rising to 60 km/h in the evening.

Freezing level: 1400 metres, lifting to 1800 metres in the morning.

Sliding Danger

Expect melt-freeze crusts on Tuesday, and some slick surfaces may still be lurking after the big wind events last week. Take an ice axe and crampons for travel above the snowline.

Forecast Confidence

Moderate

  • The snowpack structure is well understood.
  • We are uncertain due to a limited number of field observations.
  • We are uncertain about how the timing or intensity of solar radiation will affect the snowpack.

Recent Avalanche Activity

One small storm slab avalanche was observed at Ohau ski area on August 9th on a northeast aspect at around 1950m.

Several small natural and ski cut loose wet avalanches also ran on the 9th at Ohau ski area below 1650m on northeast through to southeast facing slopes.

Current Snowpack Conditions

An estimated 20cm of new snow fell in the northern part of the forecast region over the weekend, with roughly 15cm falling near Ohau ski area. This new snow is probably still dry above around 2100m on shady aspects, but it will be settling quickly. On sunny slopes, or below around 2000m in the shade, the snow became moist during Monday and will be capped with a melt-freeze crust on Tuesday morning.

The lower pack was a mix of melt freeze crusts on sunny slopes, windscoured crusts in exposed areas, and drifts of firm, windpressed snow. With a thin snowpack in places and some cold nights, faceting has been observed in the lower pack, but so far we're not seeing any weak layers that are causing problems.

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory (NZ Mountain Safety Council)

Regions covered