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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 12th, 2024–Dec 13th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

North Columbia, South Columbia, Glacier, Esplanade, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, Dogtooth, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold, Retallack, Whatshan.

Heightened avalanche conditions may exist where snow overlying a weak layer has settled into a cohesive slab.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Since the weekend, natural, skier and explosive-triggered avalanches have been reported around the region. By Wednesday, most activity was explosive-controlled size 1-2, with a few naturals size 1-1.5. Slabs are 20 to 60 cm deep, predominantly in north to east alpine terrain, and in many cases, failing on a weak layer of surface hoar crystals.

Although conditions are improving, it remains possible that riders could trigger similar avalanches going forward.

Snowpack Summary

Around 30 to 50 cm of snow accumulated last weekend and it has remained relatively cool and cloudy since then. The snow may remain soft without slab properties in some locations, but as the snow settles it may form a slab. This is particularly problematic where the snow may rest on weak surface hoar crystals in openings below treeline, at treeline elevations, and at lower alpine elevations. Otherwise, it rests on a hard melt-freeze crust on sun-exposed slopes and on all aspects at low elevations.

In exposed alpine terrain, westerly wind may have formed small wind slabs in lee terrain features.

The remainder of the snowpack is strong without any deeper concerns at this time.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with a trace of snow. 10 to 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with 1 to 5 cm of snow. 20 to 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

Saturday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 50 to 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level rising to 1300 m.

Sunday

5 to 10 cm of snow then clearing midday. 20 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Cautiously approach steep slopes that are open or sparsely treed.
  • Be aware of the potential for larger than expected storm slabs due to buried surface hoar.
  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.