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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 19th, 2017–Mar 20th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Coast Inland.

Continually reassess conditions as you travel into avalanche terrain and be aware of the potential for deeper weaknesses in the snowpack

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

MONDAY: Mainly cloudy / Light to moderate east wind / Alpine temperature 2 / Freezing level 1400mTUESDAY: Periods of wet snow or rain, accumulation 5-10cm / Light to moderate southeast wind / Alpine temperature 3 / Freezing level 1700mWEDNESDAY: Periods of wet snow or rain, accumulation 5cm / Light to moderate southwest wind / Alpine temperature 3 / Freezing level 1700m

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday in the north part of the region, a size 3 natural avalanche was reported to have triggered in the storm snow and stepping down to one of the February weak layers. Explosive control produced a few size 2-2.5 storm slabs and a few natural storm slabs were reported in the northern part of the region. On Friday, a large cornice fall missed a group of skiers on a north aspect in the Duffey area. Click here to See a MIN report for details. On Monday, storm and wind slabs may remain reactive in human triggers at upper elevation. In northern parts of the region, the deeper February weak layers continue to present a low probability / high consequence scenario.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow amounts from Saturday totalled roughly 40 cm around Coquihalla and Allison Pass and 30 cm around Duffey Lakes. Freezing levels reached roughly 1400 m, resulting in rain and/or wet snow at lower elevations. Thicker wind slabs and large cornices likely exist in alpine terrain. The storm snow sits above a widespread rain crust up to about 2100 m, but the snow will likely form a good bond to this crust. In the north of the region, the February weak layers are 80-120 cm deep and include a buried surface hoar layer that recently produced a few persistent slab avalanches and a crust/facet layer that appears to be gaining strength. In the southern parts of the region, the lower snowpack is generally stable.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.