Avalanche forecast

Purcells

Dec 11 – 12, 2022Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Be on the lookout for changes in the snow as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Use the terrain to your advantage in accessing the best and safest riding.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1–1.5

    Wind slabs may have formed with our consistent but smaller amounts of accumulations and southwest winds.

    These slabs likely overlay a weak, sugary lower snowpack. If triggered, small avalanches may trigger a bigger avalanche by 'stepping down' to these weak crystals.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5

    Buried layers of surface hoar and facets are still a concern as more load is added. Suspect triggering to be its highest in areas where the snowpack is shallower.

    This layer will be most evident in sheltered areas at treeline, where surface hoar may be preserved, and in wind-loaded areas at upper elevations where a cohesive slab above has formed.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

An avalanche, size two, produced naturally from a wind slab was reported in our area. Suspect the possibility of more of these as you travel through the backcountry. Regional neighbours are also reporting evidence of avalanches produced from the weaker layer further down in the snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

In the last 36 to 48 hours southwest winds have been transporting the up to 15 cm of new snow that fell during this time period as well. New snow and new wind slabs are sitting on older wind slabs that were created from strong westerly winds that occurred earlier in the week.

A buried layer of surface hoar sits 20 to 30 cm deep and remains a layer of concern, especially once a stiffer slab becomes established above it.

Generally speaking, we have a thin snowpack that has experienced a period of prolonged cold temperatures. The combination of the two has created a weakened snowpack by promoting faceting as a whole.

The overall height of snow is highly variable throughout the region with around 40 to 140 cm in the alpine.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with clear periods, 2 to 4 cm accumulation, wind southeast 20 km/h, -7 C at 1500 m.

Sunday

A mix of sun and cloud, trace accumulation, winds southeast 15 km/h, -5 C at 1500 m.

Monday

Cloudy with sunny periods, trace accumulation, winds northeast 10 km/h, -6 C at 1500 m.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud, no accumulation, winds northeast 10 km/h, -10 C at 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Regions covered