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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 19th, 2020–Mar 20th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Consecutive days of day time warming is taking its effect on the snow pack. Watch for prolonged periods of sun on solar aspects later in the day.

Weather Forecast

Tonight: Cloudy, Light West winds and no new precip.

Friday: Partially sunny with Light West winds High -5  freezing levels rising to 1600m

Saturday: Cloudy with isolated flurries, High -14 with moderate West winds

More detailed forecast at: Mountain weather forecast

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack continues to settle due to Diurnal conditions. Scoured from previous winds. Old hard slabs exists in the alpine and open tree line. More confidence in the southern snowpack. Cornices remain an overhead hazard,

The mornings can provide good travel on the melt freeze crust. By early afternoon the crust will start to break down.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity noted today.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.