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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 20th, 2020–Mar 21st, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos.

Clouds may temper day-time warming. Minimize exposure to cornices and steep slopes that face the sun during the warmest part of the day.

Confidence

High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Weather Forecast

Friday night: Clear, light to moderate west wind, alpine temperature -12 C, freezing level valley bottom.

Saturday: Increasing cloud, light to moderate west wind, alpine temperature -8 C, freezing level 1200 m. 

Sunday: Cloudy, isolated flurries with trace accumulations, light to moderate southwest wind, alpine temperature -4 C, freezing level 1200 m. 

Monday: Mostly cloudy, 5-10 cm of snow, light southwest wind, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level 1200 m. 

Avalanche Summary

Over the past several days, avalanche activity has been reported as natural loose wet and dry avalanches to size 1.5 and 2 running on steep, sun exposed slopes in the alpine. There have also been reports of cornices failing in the alpine on northerly aspects to size 2.5.

There are currently no professional operations reporting in the region. If you decide to travel in the backcountry, consider sharing your observations via the Mountain Information Network (MIN) to supplement our data stream as operators are shutting down. Even just a photo of what the day looked like would be helpful.

Snowpack Summary

Surface conditions are highly variable with a mix of sun crusts, moist snow, hard wind slabs, and soft faceted snow. Reports indicate that surface hoar may be developing on the surface on sheltered, shady slopes. Cornices are large, looming, and weakening with warm temperatures and strong solar radiation.

A weak layer of surface hoar buried at the end of February may be found 50-100 cm deep, except in the northern tip of the region. Sheltered north, northeast, and east facing slopes near treeline are the most likely locations to find this layer. Avalanche activity on this layer was last reported March 6th. There is a low likelihood of triggering an avalanche on this layer, but the consequences of doing so would be high. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
  • Small avalanches can have serious consequences in extreme terrain. Carefully evaluate your line for wind slab hazard before you commit to it.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.