The likelihood of cornices failing increases with intense sunshine and/or during the warmest parts of the day.
Confidence
Low - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light southwest wind / Freezing level 1800mTUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with sunny periods / Light southwest wind / Freezing level 1900mWEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries / Light southwest wind / Freezing level 1800mNOTE: Convective flurries, which are common this time of year, can result in widely varying snowfall amounts. These spring squalls routinely drop 20+ cm of snow in one valley while the adjacent drainage remains dry. For this reason, the distribution of avalanche problems associated with new snow vary greatly within a region.
Avalanche Summary
A natural cornice failure that triggered a size 3 persistent slab avalanche on a north aspect was reported on Saturday. A significant close call occurred near Mount Sir Sanford on Friday afternoon when a cornice failure triggered a size 3 persistent slab avalanche that involved multiple people. The avalanche occurred on a north aspect at approximately 2800m. The entire seasons snowpack(roughly 300 cm) slid down to glacier ice in some areas. Exposure to large overhanging cornices remains a significant concern.
Snowpack Summary
Cornices continue to fall down and trigger large avalanches. Small wind slabs may still be lingering in isolated locations below alpine ridgetops. The middle of the snowpack is generally well settled and continues to transition into a spring melt/freeze regime except for high elevation northerly aspects. Expect the entire thickness of the snowpack to be moist or wet at lower elevations. At upper elevations a deep persistent layer consisting of facets sitting on a crust that was buried back in November has been sporadically reactive to heavy loads such as a cornice fall or the weight of a smaller avalanche running.
Problems
Cornices
Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.