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RegisterFeb 11th, 2021–Feb 12th, 2021
South Rockies.
The consequences of even small accidents and injuries in this cold weather requires conservative trip plans.
Bonus: Read more about "Managing Moderate" in this new forecaster blog.
THURSDAY NIGHT - Increasing cloud / light to moderate northeast wind / low near -30
FRIDAY - Partly cloudy / trace of snow possible/ light easterly wind / alpine high temperature a balmy -18
SATURDAY - Increasing cloud / light north east wind / alpine high -19
SUNDAY - Partly cloudy / light southerly wind / highs of -14
Skiers triggered a large (size 2.5) avalanche on a south facing slope in K-Country (forecast region to the north of us) yesterday. Facets over an old sun crust may have played a role. You can read the MIN report here.
Neighbouring forecast regions reported a couple of cornice falls recently, as well as a natural wind slab out of extreme terrain. Ski cuts have been producing small avalanches avalanche in reverse loaded terrain.
On Friday there was a report of a size 2 explosives triggered wind slab avalanche, as well as a few size 1 human triggered dry loose avalanches. There was also a report of several natural avalanches, potentially up to size 3, a MIN report outlining these can be found here.
Variable winds have redistributed loose snow developing slabs in lee and open features.
A weak interface may exist in some locations approximately 60 cm down and could reach its threshold with wind loading, initiating a deeper slab. At this point, this interface seems spotty through the region and hasn't been as reactive as in the Lizard-Flathead region. However, it is something to keep on your radar! You should dig down and investigate this interface before committing to bigger lines.
In most places 30-60 cm loose snow and soft slab overlies a handful of surfaces: wind affected snow at upper elevations and exposed terrain, softer snow in sheltered areas, and a crust on steep, solar slopes and below 1600-1900 m.
A solid mid-pack sits above deeply buried decomposing crust and facet layers near the bottom of the snowpack (80-150 cm deep). Though unreactive under the current conditions, steep rocky slopes and shallow snowpacks should still be approached with caution.