Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Feb 4 – 5, 2022
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Archived · expired 5 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Steady SW winds building ongoing slab problem; previous reverse loading means problem may exist on all aspects.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Recent snow is available for transport on the Icefields Parkway and Maligne area. Likely isolated areas where new windslab building on existing reactive slabs, northerly aspects.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–3

    Persistent slabs sit over different weak layers depending on elevation & aspect. Above 1950m a buried facet layer down 20-40cm is the primary concern. Below 1950m, a faceting crust down 40-70 is presenting a more stubborn version of a similar problem

Weather Forecast

Friday: Cloudy with scattered flurries. 5 cm. Temp: High -8 °C. Wind SW: 20 km/h gusting to 50 km/h.

Saturday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Trace. Temp: Low -10 °C, High -7 °C. Wind SW: 20 km/h gusting to 55 km/h.

Sunday: Cloudy with sunny periods. Nil. Temp: Low -11 °C, High -8 °C. Wind SW: 20 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

New snow with previous N and present SW winds building slabs in alpine and tree line lee features. Varied wind effect at all elevations. Snowpack is facetted and complex. Buried surface hoar found in isolated locations; December facet layers down 20-40cm still reactive in tests.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported from road patrol today. Explosive control Wednesday produced several avalanches up to size 1 dry loose and size 2 wind slab Medicine lake area.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Friday

Regions covered