Avalanche forecast

Vancouver Island

Feb 3 – 4, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Precipitation tapers but freezing levels are rising, likely keeping wet loose avalanches active.

Greatest concern is for higher elevations, where rain may saturate the recent storm snow.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Wet avalanches remain possible as precipitiation continues.

    Rain to mountain tops may trigger wet loose avalanches at upper elevations.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
  • Loose avalanches may start small, but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to variable freezing levels.

Avalanche Summary

A MIN report from Sunday in the Arrowsmith area reported a natural wet avalanche provides evidence that the saturated upper snowpack still needs time to settle.

Snowpack Summary

A saturated upper snowpack overlies a hard crust.

The mid/lower snowpack is generally well settled and strong.

Average treeline snow depth is 100 to 140 cm, and the snowpack tapers rapidly with elevation.

Weather Summary

Monday Night
Cloudy. 1 to 4 mm of rain at treeline. 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2200 m.

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. 4 to 5 mm of rain at treeline. 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 2400 m.

Wednesday
Mix of sun and clouds. 1 mm of rain at treeline. 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 8 °C. Freezing level 2900 m.

Thursday
Mostly sunny. 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 9 °C. Freezing level 2900 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

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